Tuesday, July 16, 2013

黄金十年:牛皮靠稳

黄金十年 财经周刊 投资观点 2013-07-15 14:00

上周进入斋戒月,传统上斋戒期间会比较静,不过今年的五穷六绝魔咒已经不灵,那么,斋戒月中交投继续活络,也是有可能的。股市全周起多跌少,收在1785点以上,向美国股市齐。

在上星期,侨丰控股(OSKHLDG)的大股东有笔场外交易,导致股权增加到36.7%,触及全面献购条例。

由于收购价是1.68令吉,和市价很接近,预料很少人会接受,而大股东有意维持侨丰控股的上市地位,因此把收购价提高的意愿不大。

侨丰控股自从把其投资银行卖给兴业资本以后,换来9%兴业资本股权,其他剩下的业务的业务表现平平,倒是手握不少现金,约有2亿令吉,有备无患,可以作不时之需,应对突如其来的机会。

侨丰控股折价40%

此外,掌门人丹斯里黄宗华得以重出江湖,当上执行总裁,务要向市场证明他老而弥坚,必有一番作为。

侨丰控股目前净资产为2.57令吉,徘徊在1.60令吉,折价40%,是人家不识货,经验老到如黄宗华者,怎不趁机累积呢?这个收购,分明是瞄准侨丰控股股价低落来捡便宜。

小股东一方面埋怨股价无法反映公司真正价值,一方面又意志不坚定,见价钱高少许就把持不定,怕收购期过后股价回落,悔不当初。真是肉在砧板上,任人要怎样剁都可以。

很可惜,我们组合的侨丰产业(OSKPROP),它由大股东黄宗华的另一间公司控制,并非侨丰控股的子公司,不会成为收购的对象。不过,从侨丰产业近期的表现,业务会越来越好,股价肯定水涨船高,所以我们暂时不急着套现。

本周虽然指数上扬,不过我们的投资组合暗流汹涌,一些股票似要跌破支撑点,令人捏一把冷汗。其中一个重点投资马化工(CCM)股息除权之后,股价也软下来,周五收在1.14令吉。

合成统一后劲不继

另外,合成统一(HAPSENG),呈上扬局势两周之后,突然好象后劲不继,跌破2令吉,上周五再探低至1.95令吉。不晓得股息除权之后,会否打会原形?

对于新的投资,我们没有做决定,还在观望阶段。一些组合股票价钱滑落,吸引我们再购入,进一步巩固组合的股票比重。

上周买进科恩马(KNM)凭单25000股,每股12仙;还有CLIQ能源凭单10000股,每股42.5仙。两只股票都舍母股而选凭单,看好牛气上升不在言下。这只公牛喘息了约1个月半,是时候再冲了吧?

草根牛马

南洋網

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