Tuesday, March 19, 2013

黄金十年:曾经的美好时光

黄金十年 财经周刊 投资观点 2013-03-18 13:07

看过“岁月神偷”这部戏的人都知道,电影里的神偷,也就是“时光”,它静悄悄的,偷走了我们的美好经历,使得我们日后醒悟起来,只能在记忆中缅怀。

写这篇文章时,翻查了时光网络(TIMECOM)的上市历史,才恍然发现它已上市12年了(2001年3月)。

更意外的是,当时的民主行动党主席林吉祥表示,如果公积金局(EPF)和退休基金局(KWAP)联手认购时光网络未被认购的新上市股票(IPO),他就要去报警。

那时,时光网络的新股献售价是3.30令吉,市场普遍认为它不值得1.50令吉,导致申请者只有25%。

结果,是退休基金局做了冤大头,背后收购的原因不再赘述,它买了10.8%或2亿738万股。

今非昔比

后事如何发展,只能说,时光发挥它“神偷”功力,悠悠十年,我们都忘了……

我们看看它历年来的派息和资本回退纪录,唉,真希望我看错,原来历年来时光网络并没有派股息,只有两次的资本回退。

一直到2012年进行了第三次的资本回退,不过,紧接而来的是惨痛的90仙削资,然后是5变1整合股票。(见表)





由于当时时光网络股价只有约70仙,重组后是3.50令吉左右。(这故事怎么有点象之前写过的科恩马?)

当初新上市买入的股东,可能要再等十多廿年,才有计机会翻本了。

因为时光网络和“时光”有关系,我们和它初上市比,是马齿徒增12年;它呢,2012年的大重组,却让它抛掉多年来本钱是3.30令吉的包袱,一举年轻化,吸引了许多年轻的新股东。

更厉害的是它在2012年12月呈上了一个建议,把手上1亿3750万股数码网络(DIGI)股票派给股东,我们才豁然觉悟,原来时光网络,的确是今非昔比了。

以时光网络的票额,这项建议约等于100送24股数码网络股票,再以数码网络股价约4.50令吉,我们把它简化成另一次资本回退1.08令吉也无不可。

以时光网络不到4令吉的股价,回馈不可谓不大。

派了以后,时光网络尚持有另外1亿3750万股数码网络股票。

2012年全年盈利是35仙,也很令人鼓舞。

上周我们说价钱不大满意,没想到时隔一周,其股价起到了3.98令吉,而近来退休基金局也开了窍,频频进行买卖,大概要拉低它的平均成本吧(买低可以在稍后有高价即卖出套利;买高了,其实和刚上市成本13.15令吉比起来,还是低的,正好拉低成本)。

截稿时,正好收到益资利(ECM)的资本回退结果,零星股票单位(ODD UNIT)比我们想象中还严重,但肯南嘉股价稍有起色,看来除权前后分别不大,且看它周一上市有何表现。

我们上周以每股2.32令吉买进8000股。

草根牛马

南洋網

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